Archive for January 21st, 2008

Squawk Box Jan 21: Slide, Nokia, Facebook and AT&T

It's been a pretty quiet blogging day, despite the turmoil on the financial markets.  Martin Luther King day in the United States meant that tech news was slow.  In the midst of a 600 point drop on the Toronto Exchange, a few of us got together to record the 11 o'clock daily Squawk Box.  Jim Courtney, Howard Thaw, Randall Howard, and myself covered the rumored Facebook / Nokia deal, AT&T's corporate iPod plans, and Slide's $50 million investment.  

Tomorrow join us as we speak with National Post columnist Duncan Stewart about trends in 2008.  The show will be at 2 Eastern, and we'll cover trends ranging from privacy and anonymity, to cheap cellphones, LED lights and … oil.

 

 
icon for podpress  Jan 21 Squawk Box [20:32m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

2008-01-21 6:39 pm | No Comments »

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OpenID and the Telegraph

OpenID seems to be building a head of steam.  Following announcements by Google and Yahoo, this morning UK newspaper the Telegraph announced that they would also become an OpenID provider, the first newspaper in the world and the first British media company to do so.

How about Facebook next?

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And who pays for iTunes?

iPhone has gone corporate.  The data plans are aggressive, and the demand seems to be there.  Is it enough to dislodge Microsoft or RIM? Only time will tell.  Users are already experimenting with iPhone and Outlook/Exchange email, which could make this device into a potent competitor in the workplace.

Join us on the 11 AM SquawkBox this morning where this will be one topic of conversation.

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Nokia and Facebook sitting in a tree…

You know the rest of that old rhyme, I'm sure.

One by one the dominoes are falling.  First there was Apple with Facebook on iPhone.  Then RIM with Facebook on Blackberry, and Microsoft with Facebook APIs on Windows Mobile.  Now it looks as if Nokia might be getting ready to integrate with Facebook and make an investment as well.

It has to be that way.  Nokia, if it doesn't do this, will miss out on the next wave of telephony — social communications.  In the social world, the directory / address book combination we all use is effectively replaced by the social graph; a utility that manages opt-in social connections on the users behalf.  Sound familiar?  It should.  That's Facebook's business plan. 

Having dominated the evolution of the handset into a mobile multimedia platform, this shift might potentially unseat Nokia if they don't get aboard.  What they appear to have realized is that the momentum behind Facebook has surpassed the sales volume of all of Nokia's competitors, and is approaching Nokia's own sales volume.  It's too late for Nokia to build their own social graph utility.  Moreover, the presence of Facebook on all of their competitors handsets will rapidly drive demand for smart phone devices, perhaps accelerating the shift that has already started. 

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VC in Ontario. It’s officially a mess.

Ian Graham writes frequently from his soapbox at Blogmatic about startups — especially funding, hiring, business plans and so on.  His blog is a bit of a startup CEO handbook in many ways.

He asks "Is Startup funding broken in Ontario", inspired by a StartupNorth piece about Brightspark's new incubator model.  Brightspark 3.0 is a company that will build web 2.0 businesses, not a fund. The lads at Brightspark have returned to the model they started with in the late 1990's; assemble a team around an idea and fund it.

Ian points out that today's VC model is broken because it requires as much due diligence to do a seed round as it does a Series A or B, but the risk is higher at the seed round.  I'd add to that that once beyond the term sheet, the VC solution is over engineered.  To raise $500K an entrepreneur can easily be staring at a legal bill of $100K.

Do you really need $500K?  Depending on the kind of business you're in, maybe not.  In a cloud computing environment, it doesn't cost much to open an EC3 or Joyent account, and simply start building. There are plenty of Web 2.0 startups being built using tools like Ruby on Rails that are being created for far less than $500K. Many entrepreneurs simply choose to finance their pet project as a sideline, or by running up the credit cards.  It doesn't take long to create an early stage product, throw it out there, and see what happens. 

So who needs the VC?  Well, come stage 2, which is refining that prototype into a commercial product, we all probably need additional sources of capital.  And that's where it gets tough in Ontario.  You won't get a fully fleshed out business plan from an entrepreneur who's just maxed credit cards to build an exciting prototype.  So let's scratch all those government programs that require one.  There aren't sufficient VC funding sources available to fund even a fraction of those prototypes in growth mode either.  Moreover, when VC's delay buying into the seed round, they price themselves out of the market for follow on rounds. Let's face it, everyone wants a deal, but as soon as there's any success, the price to buy into a later round increases.

The formal angel networks offer a potential solution.  However, the taste of the 2001 era cram downs hasn't left their mouths yet.  Most are looking for business plans that won't require a follow on round. 

It's a mess, and it's no wonder that funding is down over 60% this year in Ontario.  I'm not sure that the Brightspark 3.0 model is for everyone, though.  They have the potential to be a competitor or an employer, but probably not a financial partner. 

For answers, I'd look south.  Two models I like are YCombinator and FoundersFund.

The YCombinator model is efficient in that it allows entrepreneurs to raise very tiny amounts of money in return for a small equity bite using cookie cutter terms.  In one stroke they've eliminated most of the due dil and legal expenses.   If the prototype is successful, YComb is ready to add additional funding themselves, and bring more money to the table. 

FoundersFund is a different model.  They do seed stage financing, and they're attractive to entrepreneurs because they offer a somewhat controversial early partial exit to the entrepreneur.  Buy allowing the entrepreneur to crystallize value at later rounds, they're putting themselves firmly in the partner camp, rather than the adversary camp.

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